Afternoon #Georgia #EarlyVote update!
➡️ EV In-person voting was at 131k today, which if the reversion to the average continues, would result in turnout around 225k.
📊 A new poll (https://www.atlasintel.org/poll/usa-swing-states-2024-10-29) from AtlasIntel was released for the swing states (and #Georgia) that had #Trump at +3. The results of this poll would be quite a change in trajectory for #Harris' chances in Georgia.
I took a look at the crosstabs, however, and found some weirdness. Specifically, this poll split independents 49 Harris /46.9 Trump, while the earlier Marist poll had 55 Harris / 40 Trump....so, either 1️⃣ there has been a massive shift in independent voter sentiment over the course of a week, 2️⃣ or this poll is wrong, 3️⃣ or the Marist poll is wrong.
The actual breakout of independent support is a critical question and will likely decide the results of the election, short of a massive increase in 🔵 Dem turnout in Georgia.
We're probably going to see a couple more polls before EDay that should either corroborate or refute AtlasIntel's findings.
